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Japan – Budget 2017

FY2017 marks the second year of the Fiscal Consolidation Plan. In this budget, the government continues to pursue both economic revitalization and fiscal consolidation.

·         Economic Revitalization :-

Ø Policies to achieve a society in which all citizens are dynamically engaged :- Among others: (i) raise wages for childcare and long-term nursery workers; (ii) expand capacity of childcare facilities, so as to reduce the number of children on the waiting list; (iii) shorten the minimum eligible period for receiving pension from 25 to 10 years; (iv) lengthen the eligible period for maternity leave benefits; (v) reduce the employment insurance payments; and (vi) introduce a new government-sponsored scholarship.

Ø Economic revitalization :- Focus on enhancing potential growth through combined efforts by private and public sectors; increase R&D expenditure; support innovation and new cutting-edge technologies (IoT, AI, robotics, etc.); and prioritize public investment in growth-enhancing areas.

 Ø Working-style reform :- Provide fiscal support for wage increase, introduction of regular intervals, and improvement of working condition of non-regular workers.

·         Fiscal Consolidation :-

Ø General expenditure :-  Meet the benchmark set out in the Fiscal Consolidation Plan in two consecutive years by duly controlling the growth of general expenditure (+ 530 billion yen).

Ø Sustainability of social security system :- Control the growth of social security expenditures (+500 billion yen) in line with the Fiscal Consolidation Plan. Undertake various reforms for achieving fair burden sharing and appropriate benefit level. Among others: (i) gradually lift the upper limit for high medical and nursery expenses for 70+ years old; (ii) review the temporary discount rate for 75+ years old on medical insurance premium; and (iii) introduce a new remuneration-based long-term nursery payment system.

Ø Bond issues :- The planned bond issuance amount is on a downward trend (34.4 trillion yen).

FY 2017 Budget : FrameWork

 

FY 2016 Budget (Initial)

FY 2017 Budget

FY 2016 – 2017

Note

Revenues

 

 

 

 

Tax Revenues

57,604.0

57,712.0

108.0

 

Other Revenues

4,685.8

5.372.9

687.1

 

Government Bond Issues

34,432.0

34.369.8

-62.2

 

Construction Bonds

6,050.0

6.097.0

47.0

Bond Dependency Ratio : 35.3 % (FY 2016 :- 35.6 % )

Special Deficit – Financing Bonds

28,382.0

28,272.8

-109.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

96,721.8

97,454.7

732.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

Expenditures

 

 

 

 

National Debt Service

23,612.1

23,528.5

-83.6

 

General Expenditure

57,828.6

58,359.1

530.5

 

Local Allocation Tax Grants, etc.

15,281.1

15,567.1

286.0

 

Total

96,721.8

97,454.7

732.9

 

 

General expenditure = Total expenditure in central government’s general account – National debt service – Local allocation tax grants.

Economic Indicators

 

2012 (Initial)

2013 (Initial)

2014 (Initial)

2015 (Initial)

2016 (Estimated)

2017 (Projected)

Nominal GDP Growth

0.2 %

2.6 %

2.1 % (0.7%)

2.8 %

1.5 %

2.5 %

Nominal GDP (trillion Yen)

494.7

507.4

517.9

502.2

540.2

553.5

Real GDP Growth

0.9 %

2.6 %

-0.4 %

1.3 %

1.3 %

1.5 %

Consumer Price Index

-0.3 %

0.9 %

2.9 % (0.9%)

0.2 %

0.0 %

1.1 %

Unemployment Rate

4.3 %

3.9 %

3.5 %

3.3 %

3.1 %

2.9  %

 

Fiscal Indicators : Central Governments General Account

 

2012 (Initial)

2013 (Initial)

2014 (Initial)

2015 (Initial)

2016 (Initial)

2017 (Draft)

General Expenditure

54.4

54.0

56.5

57.4

57.8

58.4

Tax Revenue

42.3

43.1

50.0

54.5

57.6

57.7

Government Bond Issues

44.2

42.9

41.3

36.9

34.4

34.4

Primary Balance

-24.9

-23.2

-18.0

-13.4

-10.8

-10.8

Bond Dependency Ratio

47.6 %

46.3 %

43.0 %

38.3 %

35.6 %

35.3 %

 

Government Bond Issues & Bond Dependency Ratio

Year

Government Bond Issues

Dependency Ratio

Construction Bonds

Special Deficit-Financing Bonds

Total

2011

6.1

38.2

44.3

47.9 %

2012

5.9

38.3

44.2

47.6 %

2013

5.8

37.1

42.9

46.3 %

2014

6.0

35.2

41.3

43.0 %

2015

6.0

30.9

36.9

38.3 %

2016

6.1

28.4

34.4

35.6 %

2017

6.1

28.3

34.4

35.3 %

 

General Account Expenditure for FY 2017

Accounts

Expenditure

Percentage (%)

National Debt Service

23,528.5

24.1 %

a.    Interest Payments

9,160.5

9.4 %

b.    Redemption of the National Debt

14,368.0

14.7 %

 

 

 

Primary Expenses

73,926.2

75.9 %

a.    Social Security

32,473.5

33.3 %

b.    Local Allocation Tax Grants, etc

15,567.1

16.0 %

c.     Public  Works

5,976.3

6.1 %

d.    Education & Science

5,356.7

5.5 %

e.    National Defense

5,125.1

5.3 %

f.     Others

9,427.5

9.7 %

-          Food Supply

1,017.4

1.0 %

-          Energy

963.5

1.0 %

-          Economic Assistance

511.0

0.5 %

-          Former Military Personnel Pensions

294.7

0.3 %

-          Promotion of SMEs

181.0

0.2 %

-          Misc.

6,109.8

6.3 %

-          Contingency Reserves

350.0

0.4 %

 

 

General Account Revenue for FY 2017

Accounts

Expenditure

Percentage (%)

Government Bond Issues

34,369.8

35.3 %

Special Deficit – Financing Bonds

28,272.8

29.0 %

Construction Bonds

6,097.0

6.3 %

 

 

 

Tax & Stamp Revenues

57,712.0

59.2 %

Income Tax

17,948.0

18.4 %

Corporation Tax

12,391.0

12.7 %

Consumption Tax

17,138.0

17.6 %

Others

10,235.0

10.5 %

Other Revenues

5,372.9

5.5 %

 

 

 

 

FY 2017 Budget :- Major Expenditure Items

Major Expenditure Items

FY 2016 Budget (Initial)

FY 2017 Budget

Change (FY 2016 to FY 2017)

% Change (FY 2016 to FY 2017)

National Debt Service

23,612.1

23,528.5

-83.6

-0.4 %

General Expenditure

57,828.6

58,359.1

530.5

0.9 %

Social Security

31,973.8

32,473.5

499.7

1.6 %

Education & Science

5,358.0

5,356.7

-1.3

-0.0 %

Science

1,293.0

1,304.5

11.6

0.9 %

Former Military Personnel Pensions

342.1

294.7

-47.4

-13.9 %

National Defence

5,054.1

5,125.1

71.0

1.4 %

Public Works

5.973.7

5,976.3

2.6

0.0 %

Economic Assistance

516.1

511.0

-5.1

-1.0 %

o/w Official Development Assistance

551.9

552.7

0.8

0.1 %

Promotion of SMEs

182.5

181.0

-1.4

-0.8 %

Energy

930.8

963.5

32.7

3.5 %

Food Supply

1,028.1

1,017.4

-10.8

-1.0 %

Misc.

6,119.3

6,109.8

-9.5

-0.2 %

Contingency Reserve

350.0

350.0

-

-

 

 

 

 

 

Local Allocation Tax Grants, etc

15,281.1

15,567.1

286.0

1.9 %

Total

96,721.8

97,454.7

732.9

0.8 %

 

·         FY2017 Budget: Priority Areas

The FY 2017 budget focuses on priority agenda for the purpose of establishing a virtuous cycle of growth and distribution, such as (i) realization of a society in which all citizens are dynamically engaged and (ii) economic revitalization.

A)   Realization of a society in which all citizens are dynamically engaged

Social Security :-

Ø Raise wages for childcare workers: (i) increase salaries for all workers by 2% (i.e., 10%, on an accumulated basis from FY2013) ; and (ii) increase by 40,000 yen monthly for deputy chiefs and 5,000 yen monthly for leaders in specific area (54.4 billion yen).

 Ø Improve wages for long-term nursery workers: increase monthly salaries by around 10,000 yen on average, by conducting special increase in remuneration in FY2017, that is, providing additional support for long-term nursery providers who establish promotion system in accordance with experience, qualification or evaluation, to assist career development (40.8 billion yen).

Ø Expand capacity of childcare facilities in line with the “Plan for Accelerating the Elimination of Children Wait-listed for Childcare” (increase in public expenses by 95.3 billion yen).

Ø Shorten the minimum eligible period for receiving pension from 25 to 10 years, and secure a necessary budget, which is equivalent to expenses for 5 months from September 2017 to January 2018 (25.6 billion yen (public expenses)).

Ø Lengthen the eligible period for maternity leave benefits from 18 to 24 months in case it is difficult to find a childcare center.

Ø Reduce the employment insurance payments: temporarily reduce the payment by 0.2% for three years, shared equally by employers and employees (reduction of 350.0 billion yen revenues). e.g., reduction of 4,200 yen per year for an average office worker with earnings of 4.2 million yen.

Education

Ø Introduce a new government-sponsored scholarship in FY2018. For students of private schools who live away from their parents, the scholarship will be introduced in FY2017 (7.0 billion yen).

Ø Effectively remove academic requirements for interest-free scholarships with regard to children from low-income families (88.5 billion yen).

·         FY2017 Budget: Priority Areas (continued)

Economic Revitalization

Ø Prioritize R&D expenditure for the purposes of catalyzing private investment and enhancing potential growth, while securing steady growth of the Science and Technology Promotion expenditure (FY20150.2% FY20160.6% FY20170.9%).

Ø Increase the budget for Japan Tourism Agency in order to promote “Tourism-Oriented Country” (21.0 billion yen). Promote utilization of cultural resources and national parks (22.0 billion yen and 10.0 billion yen, respectively).

 Ø Promote the Fourth Industrial Revolution in various areas including artificial intelligence (AI), robotics, Internet of Things (IoT), automated driving and cyber security, etc.

Working-style Reform

Ø Support companies in introducing merit-based wage system, which does not depend on the seniority, so as to help build the enabling environment for wage increase (3.9 billion yen).

Ø Support SMEs which voluntarily introduce regular intervals, with a view to addressing long working hours (0.4 billion yen).

Ø Support companies which shift non-regular workers to regular ones and improve working conditions for non-regular workers, including through realization of “equal pay for equal work” (67.0 billion yen).

·         Spending Review

Ø Reflect the results of the Autumn public review (e.g., support for venture companies, limit the accumulation of various funds, etc.).

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