Japan
– Budget 2017
FY2017 marks the second year of the Fiscal Consolidation
Plan. In this budget, the government continues to pursue both economic
revitalization and fiscal consolidation.
·
Economic
Revitalization :-
Ø Policies to achieve a
society in which all citizens are dynamically engaged :- Among others: (i)
raise wages for childcare and long-term nursery workers; (ii) expand capacity
of childcare facilities, so as to reduce the number of children on the waiting
list; (iii) shorten the minimum eligible period for receiving pension from 25
to 10 years; (iv) lengthen the eligible period for maternity leave benefits;
(v) reduce the employment insurance payments; and (vi) introduce a new
government-sponsored scholarship.
Ø Economic revitalization
:- Focus on enhancing potential growth through combined efforts by private and
public sectors; increase R&D expenditure; support innovation and new
cutting-edge technologies (IoT, AI, robotics, etc.); and prioritize public
investment in growth-enhancing areas.
Ø Working-style
reform :- Provide fiscal support for wage increase, introduction of regular
intervals, and improvement of working condition of non-regular workers.
·
Fiscal
Consolidation :-
Ø General expenditure
:- Meet the benchmark set out in the
Fiscal Consolidation Plan in two consecutive years by duly controlling the
growth of general expenditure (+ 530 billion yen).
Ø Sustainability of social
security system :- Control the growth of social security expenditures (+500
billion yen) in line with the Fiscal Consolidation Plan. Undertake various
reforms for achieving fair burden sharing and appropriate benefit level. Among
others: (i) gradually lift the upper limit for high medical and nursery
expenses for 70+ years old; (ii) review the temporary discount rate for 75+
years old on medical insurance premium; and (iii) introduce a new
remuneration-based long-term nursery payment system.
Ø Bond issues :- The
planned bond issuance amount is on a downward trend (34.4 trillion yen).
FY
2017 Budget : FrameWork
|
FY
2016 Budget (Initial)
|
FY
2017 Budget
|
FY
2016 – 2017
|
Note
|
Revenues
|
|
|
|
|
Tax
Revenues
|
57,604.0
|
57,712.0
|
108.0
|
|
Other
Revenues
|
4,685.8
|
5.372.9
|
687.1
|
|
Government
Bond Issues
|
34,432.0
|
34.369.8
|
-62.2
|
|
Construction
Bonds
|
6,050.0
|
6.097.0
|
47.0
|
Bond Dependency
Ratio : 35.3 % (FY 2016 :- 35.6 % )
|
Special
Deficit – Financing Bonds
|
28,382.0
|
28,272.8
|
-109.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
96,721.8
|
97,454.7
|
732.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Expenditures
|
|
|
|
|
National
Debt Service
|
23,612.1
|
23,528.5
|
-83.6
|
|
General
Expenditure
|
57,828.6
|
58,359.1
|
530.5
|
|
Local
Allocation Tax Grants, etc.
|
15,281.1
|
15,567.1
|
286.0
|
|
Total
|
96,721.8
|
97,454.7
|
732.9
|
|
General expenditure = Total expenditure in central
government’s general account – National debt service – Local allocation tax
grants.
Economic
Indicators
|
2012 (Initial)
|
2013 (Initial)
|
2014 (Initial)
|
2015 (Initial)
|
2016 (Estimated)
|
2017 (Projected)
|
Nominal GDP Growth
|
0.2 %
|
2.6 %
|
2.1 % (0.7%)
|
2.8 %
|
1.5 %
|
2.5 %
|
Nominal GDP (trillion Yen)
|
494.7
|
507.4
|
517.9
|
502.2
|
540.2
|
553.5
|
Real GDP Growth
|
0.9 %
|
2.6 %
|
-0.4 %
|
1.3 %
|
1.3 %
|
1.5 %
|
Consumer Price Index
|
-0.3 %
|
0.9 %
|
2.9 % (0.9%)
|
0.2 %
|
0.0 %
|
1.1 %
|
Unemployment Rate
|
4.3 %
|
3.9 %
|
3.5 %
|
3.3 %
|
3.1 %
|
2.9
%
|
Fiscal
Indicators : Central Governments General Account
|
2012 (Initial)
|
2013 (Initial)
|
2014 (Initial)
|
2015 (Initial)
|
2016 (Initial)
|
2017 (Draft)
|
General Expenditure
|
54.4
|
54.0
|
56.5
|
57.4
|
57.8
|
58.4
|
Tax Revenue
|
42.3
|
43.1
|
50.0
|
54.5
|
57.6
|
57.7
|
Government Bond Issues
|
44.2
|
42.9
|
41.3
|
36.9
|
34.4
|
34.4
|
Primary Balance
|
-24.9
|
-23.2
|
-18.0
|
-13.4
|
-10.8
|
-10.8
|
Bond Dependency Ratio
|
47.6 %
|
46.3 %
|
43.0 %
|
38.3 %
|
35.6 %
|
35.3 %
|
Government
Bond Issues & Bond Dependency Ratio
Year
|
Government Bond
Issues
|
Dependency Ratio
|
Construction Bonds
|
Special Deficit-Financing Bonds
|
Total
|
2011
|
6.1
|
38.2
|
44.3
|
47.9 %
|
2012
|
5.9
|
38.3
|
44.2
|
47.6 %
|
2013
|
5.8
|
37.1
|
42.9
|
46.3 %
|
2014
|
6.0
|
35.2
|
41.3
|
43.0 %
|
2015
|
6.0
|
30.9
|
36.9
|
38.3 %
|
2016
|
6.1
|
28.4
|
34.4
|
35.6 %
|
2017
|
6.1
|
28.3
|
34.4
|
35.3 %
|
General
Account Expenditure for FY 2017
Accounts
|
Expenditure
|
Percentage (%)
|
National Debt Service
|
23,528.5
|
24.1 %
|
a. Interest Payments
|
9,160.5
|
9.4 %
|
b. Redemption of the
National Debt
|
14,368.0
|
14.7 %
|
|
|
|
Primary Expenses
|
73,926.2
|
75.9 %
|
a.
Social Security
|
32,473.5
|
33.3 %
|
b.
Local Allocation Tax
Grants, etc
|
15,567.1
|
16.0 %
|
c.
Public Works
|
5,976.3
|
6.1 %
|
d.
Education &
Science
|
5,356.7
|
5.5 %
|
e.
National Defense
|
5,125.1
|
5.3 %
|
f.
Others
|
9,427.5
|
9.7 %
|
-
Food Supply
|
1,017.4
|
1.0 %
|
-
Energy
|
963.5
|
1.0 %
|
-
Economic Assistance
|
511.0
|
0.5 %
|
-
Former Military
Personnel Pensions
|
294.7
|
0.3 %
|
-
Promotion of SMEs
|
181.0
|
0.2 %
|
-
Misc.
|
6,109.8
|
6.3 %
|
-
Contingency Reserves
|
350.0
|
0.4 %
|
General
Account Revenue for FY 2017
Accounts
|
Expenditure
|
Percentage (%)
|
Government Bond Issues
|
34,369.8
|
35.3 %
|
Special
Deficit – Financing Bonds
|
28,272.8
|
29.0 %
|
Construction
Bonds
|
6,097.0
|
6.3 %
|
|
|
|
Tax & Stamp Revenues
|
57,712.0
|
59.2 %
|
Income
Tax
|
17,948.0
|
18.4 %
|
Corporation
Tax
|
12,391.0
|
12.7 %
|
Consumption
Tax
|
17,138.0
|
17.6 %
|
Others
|
10,235.0
|
10.5 %
|
Other
Revenues
|
5,372.9
|
5.5 %
|
|
|
|
FY
2017 Budget :- Major Expenditure Items
Major Expenditure
Items
|
FY 2016 Budget
(Initial)
|
FY 2017 Budget
|
Change (FY 2016 to
FY 2017)
|
% Change (FY 2016 to
FY 2017)
|
National Debt
Service
|
23,612.1
|
23,528.5
|
-83.6
|
-0.4 %
|
General Expenditure
|
57,828.6
|
58,359.1
|
530.5
|
0.9 %
|
Social Security
|
31,973.8
|
32,473.5
|
499.7
|
1.6 %
|
Education & Science
|
5,358.0
|
5,356.7
|
-1.3
|
-0.0 %
|
Science
|
1,293.0
|
1,304.5
|
11.6
|
0.9 %
|
Former Military Personnel Pensions
|
342.1
|
294.7
|
-47.4
|
-13.9 %
|
National Defence
|
5,054.1
|
5,125.1
|
71.0
|
1.4 %
|
Public Works
|
5.973.7
|
5,976.3
|
2.6
|
0.0 %
|
Economic Assistance
|
516.1
|
511.0
|
-5.1
|
-1.0 %
|
o/w Official Development Assistance
|
551.9
|
552.7
|
0.8
|
0.1 %
|
Promotion of SMEs
|
182.5
|
181.0
|
-1.4
|
-0.8 %
|
Energy
|
930.8
|
963.5
|
32.7
|
3.5 %
|
Food Supply
|
1,028.1
|
1,017.4
|
-10.8
|
-1.0 %
|
Misc.
|
6,119.3
|
6,109.8
|
-9.5
|
-0.2 %
|
Contingency Reserve
|
350.0
|
350.0
|
-
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local Allocation Tax
Grants, etc
|
15,281.1
|
15,567.1
|
286.0
|
1.9 %
|
Total
|
96,721.8
|
97,454.7
|
732.9
|
0.8 %
|
·
FY2017
Budget: Priority Areas
The FY 2017 budget focuses on priority agenda for the
purpose of establishing a virtuous cycle of growth and distribution, such as
(i) realization of a society in which all citizens are dynamically engaged and
(ii) economic revitalization.
A)
Realization
of a society in which all citizens are dynamically engaged
Social Security :-
Ø Raise wages for childcare
workers: (i) increase salaries for all workers by 2% (i.e., 10%, on an
accumulated basis from FY2013) ; and (ii) increase by 40,000 yen monthly for
deputy chiefs and 5,000 yen monthly for leaders in specific area (54.4 billion yen).
Ø
Improve wages for long-term nursery workers: increase monthly salaries by
around 10,000 yen on average, by conducting special increase in remuneration in
FY2017, that is, providing additional support for long-term nursery providers
who establish promotion system in accordance with experience, qualification or
evaluation, to assist career development (40.8 billion yen).
Ø Expand capacity of
childcare facilities in line with the “Plan for Accelerating the Elimination of
Children Wait-listed for Childcare” (increase in public expenses by 95.3
billion yen).
Ø Shorten the minimum
eligible period for receiving pension from 25 to 10 years, and secure a
necessary budget, which is equivalent to expenses for 5 months from September
2017 to January 2018 (25.6 billion yen (public expenses)).
Ø Lengthen the eligible
period for maternity leave benefits from 18 to 24 months in case it is
difficult to find a childcare center.
Ø Reduce the employment
insurance payments: temporarily reduce the payment by 0.2% for three years,
shared equally by employers and employees (reduction of 350.0 billion yen
revenues). e.g., reduction of 4,200 yen per year for an average office worker
with earnings of 4.2 million yen.
Education
Ø Introduce a new
government-sponsored scholarship in FY2018. For students of private schools who
live away from their parents, the scholarship will be introduced in FY2017 (7.0
billion yen).
Ø Effectively remove academic
requirements for interest-free scholarships with regard to children from
low-income families (88.5 billion yen).
·
FY2017
Budget: Priority Areas (continued)
Economic Revitalization
Ø Prioritize R&D
expenditure for the purposes of catalyzing private investment and enhancing
potential growth, while securing steady growth of the Science and Technology
Promotion expenditure (FY2015+0.2% →
FY2016+0.6% → FY2017+0.9%).
Ø Increase the budget for
Japan Tourism Agency in order to promote “Tourism-Oriented Country” (21.0
billion yen). Promote utilization of cultural resources and national parks
(22.0 billion yen and 10.0 billion yen, respectively).
Ø
Promote the Fourth Industrial Revolution in various areas including artificial
intelligence (AI), robotics, Internet of Things (IoT), automated driving and
cyber security, etc.
Working-style Reform
Ø Support companies in
introducing merit-based wage system, which does not depend on the seniority, so
as to help build the enabling environment for wage increase (3.9 billion yen).
Ø Support SMEs which
voluntarily introduce regular intervals, with a view to addressing long working
hours (0.4 billion yen).
Ø Support companies which
shift non-regular workers to regular ones and improve working conditions for
non-regular workers, including through realization of “equal pay for equal
work” (67.0 billion yen).
·
Spending
Review
Ø Reflect the results of the
Autumn public review (e.g., support for venture companies, limit the
accumulation of various funds, etc.).